Date
February 21st, 2026
Category
Article, Education, Live Trading
Written by
Daniel Griffiths
No commentsHello Traders!
I hope you have had a great week.
Mine has not been as great as I had hoped but it led me to a lesson that backtesting could never teach me – recency bias & execution addiction.
Let’s dive deeper!
(Tools I have used this week will be featured at the bottom of the blog – including discounts!)
Live Trading Info
EURUSD
London Session
FTMO Funded account start balance = $50,000
Risk per trade = 0.5% of account balance (x)
Take profit target = 3.3x risk per trade (y)
Risk:Reward ratio = x:y
Trading Performance
Monday – US Bank Holiday = no trade day
Simple as it can be. Volume is lower during US bank holidays (even during London session) and we were also still stuck in the range that NFP (Non-farm Payrolls) had created.
Price moved practically nowhere so I saved time not being active in this session.
Tuesday – Price still stuck in NFP range so I did not trade
Still stuck in the range so I opted out.
There were signs of it breaking out but I am still sceptical as it could just be a liquidity sweep.
Wednesday – 2 losses
These 2 trades were really low probability and I was executing them out of boredom / wanting to be involved and spending too much time analysing my lower time frame execution chart.
Thursday – 2 losses
Very similar to the day prior as I got way too involved in my execution time frame rather than my strategies immediate direction time frame.
The trades themselves were low probability but did have some chance of playing out. However, I did not register the context of the higher time frames so the chances of them playing out were extremely low / should have been avoided.
I had a pretty bad mental attitude after these 2 losses, and from the day prior too. It got to the level where I felt like quitting and regretting ever starting this journey. However, I wrote down how I was feeling, reminded myself that these trades were still valid in the eyes of backtesting, and that I was just in the midst of the law of large numbers playing out.
Friday – No trade day due to data gathered from news happening
EUR/GBP/USD Flash Manufacturing PMI is not as high impact news even like NFP or CPI, but backtesting has shown that the days when this news comes around it’s in my best interest to avoid trading.
I did and looking back, there were no trade opportunities anyway which positively correlates to the backtesting data I have.
Recency Bias & Execution Addiction
What is recency bias?
Recency bias is the tendency to be disproportionately influenced by recent occurrences when evaluating or making a decision about something.
In the context of my trading, I was influenced by the information I was receiving on my execution time frame (2-minute chart) rather than my immediate directional bias time frame (15-minute chart).
As you can see it was quite detrimental to the performance of this week.
Yes, the 4 trades I took can still be logged under valid trades when it comes to execution. However, the fact of the matter is, in relevance to my immediate bias chart, these trades should be a no-go when they appear.
This leads me to execution addiction.
What is execution addiction?
In trading, it’s when we become compulsively obsessed with the act of buying and selling (executing trades) rather than focusing on profit, strategy, or risk management.
This is the problem with the backtesting mindset when it comes to trading. Even though in that environment I would have executed these trades, I have the data to support that these trades do not need to be taken in a live market in order to preserve capital.
Recency bias & execution addiction go very much hand-in-hand.
Key Takeaway for the Week
In my journal, I wrote down all that I could to understand recency bias/execution addiction and how to overcome it. My outcome was to be really stern about my execution time frame.
Analysis of liquidity sweeps, lower time frame POIs, order flow direction, etc is to all be banned.
The goal is to embrace the immediate bias time frame and really make sure I have checked every box when it comes to understanding the current likely objective that price will fulfill today.
This is what backtesting could never teach me….
UPDATE: Winddown routine
This is helping but I still need to have a full-week of doing this since it slipped once again due to the US bank holiday, NFP range, and Flash PMI but I will keep you in the loop!
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If you enjoyed this Weekly Overview, please share it by copying the website URL, or by taking a screenshot and sending it to your friends!
As promised, here are the tools I have used this week and a discount code for Magic Keys:
- Magic Keys (for 25% off, use code: MKMETEORTRADINGFX)
- TradingView
- FTMO (funded account challenge)
Check out the Tools page for more info
Thank you for taking the time to read this blog post, it means a lot to me.
See you next week and happy trading!